Mongolia's largest copper deposit. The state owns 34% but, 17 years on, has received no dividends; the money reaching citizens flows mainly through taxes paid into the state budget.

Who owns it

Exhibit 1
OwnerShareNote
Rio Tinto66%Runs day-to-day operations and development (Rio Tinto 20-F)
Erdenes Oyu Tolgoi (state)34%Can never be diluted under the Investment Agreement; may rise to 50% after 30 years (Oyu Tolgoi)

Where the money went

Exhibit 2
FlowAmountWhere it went
Taxes, royalties and other payments (since 2010)About US$6.1 billionState budget (GeoConversation)
Dividends on the state's 34%0Originally expected in 2017; now estimated for 2037 (GeoConversation)
Loans that funded the state's stakeUS$2.4 billion written off in 2022Repaid with interest from the mine's cash flow, ahead of any dividend (NS Energy, Oyu Tolgoi)
2026 termsLoan rate cut by 2.5 percentage pointsRate now reviewed every 3 years instead of 7 (GeoConversation, Arctus)

How much reached citizens

Exhibit 3
MeasureStatus
State benefit intended by the agreement53% (Arctus)
Actually received over 17 years25–31%, mostly through taxes, according to the National Security Council (Arctus)
Into citizens' savings accountsThe Savings Fund receives 34% of dividends from Erdenes Mongol companies (swf.gov.mn); since Oyu Tolgoi has paid no dividends, nothing has reached citizens this way yet

Open questions

We could not find these figures in full from public sources. This page will be updated when sources are found.

  • The current size and interest rate of the remaining loan that funded the state's stake
  • Whether the full contract texts (Investment Agreement, Shareholders' Agreement, the 2015 financing plan) are fully public
  • How much of Oyu Tolgoi's taxes and royalties reached Umnugovi aimag and Khanbogd soum

For the full analysis, see the report Fair Contracts, Fair Returns.

Sources